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Where Did xG Come From?
He was right, and his research has since inspired other sports and data geeks and gurus to focus on their own models for creating xG (Expected Goals).
Some teams might have a high xG per game, but a low number of actual or average goals scored.
However it's good to remember that football is not played in spreadsheets or via mathematical models.
For example, in the 2021/2022 UCL Campaign, the final had Real Madrid accumulate 0.
3 xG between models).
However the fixture ended 1-0 in Madrid's favour.
This means that while Real Madrid was technically very dangerous, none of that was reflected in xG!
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